BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Jacksonville St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 101 Overall: (9-5) Overall Strength = 143.25
Conference: Conference USA Record: (7-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (8-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Away L * 148.47 10 17 1A 77 ( 5- 7) Central Florida 5.22 -6.11 -12.22
2 09/06/2025 Home W * * 150.78 34 24 1A 102 ( 4- 8) Liberty 7.53 6.93 2.47
3 09/13/2025 Away L * 136.41 34 41 1A 107 ( 7- 6) Georgia Southern -6.84 21.27 -0.16
4 09/20/2025 Home W 151.81 45 10 1B 83 ( 1-11) Murray St 8.55 31.98 26.45
5 09/27/2025 Away L * 128.24 25 42 1A 100 ( 7- 6) Southern Miss -15.01 -8.11 -1.99
6 10/09/2025 Away W * * 129.81 29 27 1A 135 ( 2-10) Sam Houston St -13.44 13.69 15.44
7 10/15/2025 Home W * * 150.82 38 25 1A 114 ( 7- 6) Delaware 7.56 -3.32 5.44
8 10/29/2025 Away W * * 139.01 24 21 1A 129 ( 3- 9) Middle Tennessee St -4.24 5.52 7.24
9 11/05/2025 Home L * * 140.75 15 19 1A 90 (10- 4) Kennesaw St -2.50 -11.95 -1.50
10 11/08/2025 Away W * * 139.95 30 27 1A 130 ( 2-10) UTEP -3.31 2.75 6.31
11 11/15/2025 Home W * * 153.75 35 26 1A 90 (10- 4) Kennesaw St 10.50 -8.56 -1.50
12 11/22/2025 Away L * * 137.52 21 27 1A 108 ( 7- 6) Florida Int'l -5.73 0.58 -0.27
13 11/29/2025 Home W * * 149.60 37 34 1A 89 ( 9- 4) Western Kentucky 6.35 -4.59 -3.35
14 12/16/2025 Neutral W * 148.60 17 13 1A 98 ( 8- 6) Troy 5.35 -1.29 -1.35
Averages 143.25 28.1 25.2
Best game: 153.75 = 9 point win over Kennesaw St
Worst game: 128.24 = 17 point loss to Southern Miss
Team stdev: 8.39