BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Jacksonville St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 102 Overall: (4-3) Overall Strength = 151.05
Conference: Conference USA Record: (3-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Away L * 163.92 10 17 1A 57 (4-3) Central Florida 12.48 -6.11 -19.48
2 09/06/2025 Home W * * 156.92 34 24 1A 107 (3-4) Liberty 5.49 6.93 4.51
3 09/13/2025 Away L * 142.81 34 41 1A 113 (3-5) Georgia Southern -8.62 21.27 1.62
4 09/20/2025 Home W 153.76 45 10 1B 103 (0-8) Murray St 2.32 * 31.98 32.68
5 09/27/2025 Away L * 142.79 25 42 1A 84 (6-2) Southern Miss -8.65 -8.11 -8.35
6 10/09/2025 Away W * * 138.38 29 27 1A 134 (0-7) Sam Houston St -13.05 13.70 15.05
7 10/15/2025 Home W * * 161.46 38 25 1A 104 (4-3) Delaware 10.03 -3.30 2.97
8 10/29/2025 Away * * 1A 128 (1-6) Middle Tennessee St 5.51
9 11/08/2025 Away * * 1A 129 (2-5) UTEP 5.60
10 11/15/2025 Home * * 1A 62 (5-2) Kennesaw St -11.57
11 11/22/2025 Away * * 1A 120 (3-4) Florida Int'l 3.03
12 11/29/2025 Home * * 1A 98 (6-2) Western Kentucky -0.08
Averages 151.43 30.7 26.6
Best game: 163.92 = 7 point loss to Central Florida
Worst game: 138.38 = 2 point win over Sam Houston St
Team stdev: 10.09