BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Jacksonville St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 100 Overall: (2-3) Overall Strength = 159.82
Conference: Conference USA Record: (1-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (1-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Away L * 166.93 10 17 1A 74 (3-2) Central Florida 6.44 -6.11 -13.44
2 09/06/2025 Home W * * 166.89 34 24 1A 121 (1-4) Liberty 6.41 6.91 3.59
3 09/13/2025 Away L * 150.99 34 41 1A 117 (2-3) Georgia Southern -9.50 21.28 2.50
4 09/20/2025 Home W 163.17 45 10 1B 105 (0-5) Murray St 2.68 * 31.98 32.32
5 09/27/2025 Away L * 154.45 25 42 1A 72 (3-2) Southern Miss -6.03 -8.25 -10.97
6 10/09/2025 Away * * 1A 134 (0-5) Sam Houston St 13.74
7 10/15/2025 Home * * 1A 96 (3-2) Delaware -0.18
8 10/29/2025 Away * * 1A 129 (1-4) Middle Tennessee St 8.26
9 11/08/2025 Away * * 1A 116 (1-4) UTEP 2.81
10 11/15/2025 Home * * 1A 104 (3-2) Kennesaw St 3.20
11 11/22/2025 Away * * 1A 131 (2-3) Florida Int'l 9.12
12 11/29/2025 Home * * 1A 95 (5-1) Western Kentucky -0.69
Averages 160.49 29.6 26.8
Best game: 166.93 = 7 point loss to Central Florida
Worst game: 150.99 = 7 point loss to Georgia Southern
Team stdev: 7.36