BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Jacksonville St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 95 Overall: (2-2) Overall Strength = 167.74
Conference: Conference USA Record: (1-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (1-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Away L * 173.52 10 17 1A 62 (3-0) Central Florida 5.13 -6.11 -12.13
2 09/06/2025 Home W * * 169.34 34 24 1A 108 (1-3) Liberty 0.95 6.91 9.05
3 09/13/2025 Away L * 160.36 34 41 1A 109 (2-2) Georgia Southern -8.03 21.28 1.03
4 09/20/2025 Home W 170.34 45 10 1B 88 (0-4) Murray St 1.95 * 31.98 33.05
5 09/27/2025 Away * 1A 77 (2-2) Southern Miss -8.25
6 10/09/2025 Away * * 1A 134 (0-4) Sam Houston St 20.53
7 10/15/2025 Home * * 1A 74 (3-1) Delaware -4.87
8 10/29/2025 Away * * 1A 132 (1-3) Middle Tennessee St 13.59
9 11/08/2025 Away * * 1A 127 (1-3) UTEP 11.73
10 11/15/2025 Home * * 1A 87 (2-2) Kennesaw St -0.99
11 11/22/2025 Away * * 1A 106 (2-2) Florida Int'l 1.03
12 11/29/2025 Home * * 1A 97 (3-1) Western Kentucky 2.33
Averages 168.39 30.8 23.0
Best game: 173.52 = 7 point loss to Central Florida
Worst game: 160.36 = 7 point loss to Georgia Southern
Team stdev: 5.64